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- The Autopsy Is In. Both Parties Are Flatlining. What Comes Next?
The Autopsy Is In. Both Parties Are Flatlining. What Comes Next?
Both parties have an opportunity to reinvent themselves. But will they?
DNC Chair Ken Martin released the report but simultaneously issued a statement saying "I am not proud of this product. It does not meet my standards and it won't meet your standards." He commissioned it, withheld it, got caught, and then released it while disowning it in the same breath.
That doesn’t really sound like a party doing honest self-reflection. It sounds a lot more like a party scared of what the mirror shows.
And, so, what does the mirror actually show?... Honestly, not much. The report does not significantly examine Biden's decision to run at 81, his debate collapse, or the key decisions made by the Harris campaign. The three biggest factors in the 2024 loss. All conveniently omitted.
Meanwhile on the other side of the aisle, Trump is term limited. The Republican Party has spent eight to twelve years reorganizing itself entirely around one man's personality. That man cannot run again. Nobody has any idea what the party looks like without him.
So here is where we actually are in May 2026. Both parties are standing at a crossroads. Both are avoiding the hard questions. And both are doing it while the majority of American voters sit in the middle with nowhere to go.
How big is that majority? Pew Research found majorities view both parties as too extreme. 61% say this about Republicans. 57% say it about Democrats. Only 28% of Americans say the Democratic Party makes them feel hopeful. A Deseret News poll found 4 in 10 Americans want an entirely new major party, and the largest share of those people, 36%, want it to be moderate and centrist.
The center is not a myth. It is not a compromise. It is the largest single voting bloc in the country and it is completely unrepresented right now. Opportunity awaits and if it were up to me, I would take advantage of it.
So what would it actually look like for either party to capitalize on it?
For Democrats it means three things. First, stop letting the loudest voices in the room define the brand. While Mamdani, AOC, and Bernie are popular within the party right now, they are radioactive with swing voters. Democrats need to win national elections which brings us to the second point. This requires that they fix their messaging on the economy, and promising to redistribute wealth is not what the majority of Americans want to hear. They simply want to hear that you’re going to make the system work for people who feel locked out of it. And third, Democrats, release the honest autopsy. All of it. Including the parts that hurt.
For Republicans it means one thing above everything else. Build a post-Trump identity before 2028 forces the question in the worst possible way. The party that spent a decade becoming a personality cult needs a policy vision that can survive without the personality. That work has not started yet by any noticeable measure.
The party that figures this out first does not just win the next election. It potentially dominates American politics for a generation.
The blueprint is sitting right there in the data and the voters are waiting. The question is whether either party is brave enough to actually read their autopsy and act upon it.